Comprehensive prediction model of urinary incontinence one year following robot-assisted radical prostatectomy

Urol Int. 2013;90(1):31-5. doi: 10.1159/000343735. Epub 2012 Nov 30.

Abstract

Objectives: Urinary incontinence (UI) still remains one of the major functional complications after robot-assisted radical prostatectomy (RARP). As the cause for UI is multifactorial, it is quite difficult to make a prediction preoperatively. Considering intraoperative and postoperative risk factors, besides the preoperative ones, we designed an incontinence prediction model, administered 1 month after the surgery, in order to identify incontinent patients at 1 year.

Patients and methods: We retrospectively reviewed 244 patients who underwent RARP at our institution. Only 209 patients had sufficient data, a 1-year follow-up and were continent preoperatively. The association of UI with the risk factors was assessed by univariable and multivariable regression models.

Results: There was a 17.2% global UI rate at 1 year after RARP. Only age-adjusted Charlson comorbidity index, erectile function assessed by International Index of Erectile Function-5, prostate volume, nerve-sparing status and 24-hour urine loss at 1 month correlated with UI (p = 0.032, 0.009, 0.031, 0.018 and <0.001, respectively). The accuracy of the prediction model of UI was 92.8% (c-index), with an area under the curve of 91.9%.

Conclusion: Age-adjusted Charlson comorbidity index, International Index of Erectile Function-5, prostate volume, nerve-sparing status and 24-hour urine loss at 1 month after RARP can predict an individual's risk of UI at 1 year after RARP with good accuracy. Further external validation is required in order to generalize the use of this model.

MeSH terms

  • Age Factors
  • Area Under Curve
  • Comorbidity
  • Decision Support Techniques*
  • Erectile Dysfunction / etiology
  • Humans
  • Laparoscopy / adverse effects*
  • Logistic Models
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Multivariate Analysis
  • Nomograms
  • Patient Selection
  • Prostatectomy / adverse effects*
  • Prostatectomy / methods
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Risk Assessment
  • Risk Factors
  • Robotics*
  • Time Factors
  • Treatment Outcome
  • Urinary Incontinence / etiology*