Burden of bloodstream infection caused by extended-spectrum β-lactamase-producing enterobacteriaceae determined using multistate modeling at a Swiss University Hospital and a nationwide predictive model

Infect Control Hosp Epidemiol. 2013 Feb;34(2):133-43. doi: 10.1086/669086. Epub 2012 Dec 18.

Abstract

Objective: To obtain an unbiased estimate of the excess hospital length of stay (LOS) and cost attributable to extended-spectrum β-lactamase (ESBL) positivity in bloodstream infections (BSIs) due to Enterobacteriaceae.

Design: Retrospective cohort study.

Setting: A 2,200-bed academic medical center in Geneva, Switzerland.

Patients: Patients admitted during 2009.

Methods: We used multistate modeling and Cox proportional hazards models to determine the excess LOS and adjusted end-of-LOS hazard ratio (HR) for ESBL-positive and ESBL-negative BSI. We estimated economic burden as the product of excess LOS and average bed-day cost. Patient-level accounting data provided a complementary analysis of economic burden. A predictive model was fitted to national surveillance data.

Results: Thirty ESBL-positive and 96 ESBL-negative BSI cases were included. The excess LOS attributable to ESBL-positive and ESBL-negative BSI was 9.4 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.4-18.4) and 2.6 (95% CI, 0.7-5.9) days, respectively. ESBL positivity was therefore associated with 6.8 excess days and CHF 9,473 per BSI. The adjusted end-of-LOS HRs for ESBL-positive and ESBL-negative BSI were 0.62 (95% CI, 0.43-0.89) and 0.90 (95% CI, 0.74-1.10), respectively. After reimbursement, the average financial loss per acute care episode in ESBL-positive BSI, ESBL-negative BSI, and control cohorts was CHF 48,674, 48,131, and 13,532, respectively. Our predictive model estimated that the nationwide cost of third-generation cephalosporin resistance would increase from CHF 2,084,000 in 2010 to CHF 3,526,000 in 2015.

Conclusions: This is the first hospital-wide analysis of excess LOS attributable to ESBL positivity determined using multistate modeling to avoid time-dependent bias. These results may inform health-economic evaluations of interventions targeting ESBL control.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Aged
  • Bacteremia / economics*
  • Bacteremia / microbiology
  • Confidence Intervals
  • Cost of Illness
  • Cross Infection / economics*
  • Cross Infection / epidemiology
  • Cross Infection / microbiology
  • Enterobacteriaceae / enzymology*
  • Enterobacteriaceae / isolation & purification
  • Enterobacteriaceae Infections / economics*
  • Enterobacteriaceae Infections / epidemiology
  • Enterobacteriaceae Infections / microbiology
  • Female
  • Forecasting
  • Hospitals, University
  • Humans
  • Length of Stay / economics*
  • Length of Stay / statistics & numerical data
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Models, Theoretical
  • Proportional Hazards Models
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Sex Distribution
  • Switzerland
  • beta-Lactamases / biosynthesis*

Substances

  • beta-Lactamases