Are random trading strategies more successful than technical ones?

PLoS One. 2013 Jul 11;8(7):e68344. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0068344. Print 2013.


In this paper we explore the specific role of randomness in financial markets, inspired by the beneficial role of noise in many physical systems and in previous applications to complex socio-economic systems. After a short introduction, we study the performance of some of the most used trading strategies in predicting the dynamics of financial markets for different international stock exchange indexes, with the goal of comparing them to the performance of a completely random strategy. In this respect, historical data for FTSE-UK, FTSE-MIB, DAX, and S & P500 indexes are taken into account for a period of about 15-20 years (since their creation until today).

MeSH terms

  • Behavior*
  • Humans
  • Social Class*
  • Social Marketing*

Grant support

The authors have no support or funding to report.