Serum phosphate as a risk factor for cardiovascular events in people with and without chronic kidney disease: a large community based cohort study

PLoS One. 2013 Sep 10;8(9):e74996. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0074996. eCollection 2013.

Abstract

Background: Serum phosphate is a known risk factor for cardiovascular events and mortality in people with chronic kidney disease (CKD), however data on the association of these outcomes with serum phosphate in the general population are scarce. We investigate this relationship in people with and without CKD in a large community-based population.

Methods: Three groups from an adult cohort of the Quality Improvement in Chronic Kidney Disease (QICKD) cluster randomised trial (ISRCTN56023731) were followed over a period of 2.5 years: people with normal renal function (N = 24,184), people with CKD stages 1-2 (N = 20,356), and people with CKD stages 3-5 (N = 13,292). We used a multilevel logistic regression model to determine the association between serum phosphate, in these groups, and a composite outcome of all-cause mortality, cardiovascular events, and advanced coronary artery disease. We adjusted for known cardiovascular risk factors.

Findings: Higher phosphate levels were found to correlate with increased cardiovascular risk. In people with normal renal function and CKD stages 1-2, Phosphate levels between 1.25 and 1.50 mmol/l were associated with increased cardiovascular events; odds ratio (OR) 1.36 (95% CI 1.06-1.74; p = 0.016) in people with normal renal function and OR 1.40 (95% CI 1.09-1.81; p = 0.010) in people with CKD stages 1-2. Hypophosphatemia (<0.75 mmol/l) was associated with fewer cardiovascular events in people with normal renal function; OR 0.59 (95% CI 0.36-0.97; p = 0.049). In people with CKD stages 3-5, hyperphosphatemia (>1.50 mmol/l) was associated with increased cardiovascular risk; OR 2.34 (95% CI 1.64-3.32; p<0.001). Other phosphate ranges were not found to have a significant impact on cardiovascular events in people with CKD stages 3-5.

Conclusions: Serum phosphate is associated with cardiovascular events in people with and without CKD. Further research is required to determine the mechanisms underlying these associations.

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Cardiovascular Diseases / blood*
  • Cardiovascular Diseases / complications
  • Cohort Studies
  • England
  • Female
  • Follow-Up Studies
  • Homeostasis
  • Humans
  • Logistic Models
  • Male
  • Medical Records Systems, Computerized
  • Middle Aged
  • Multivariate Analysis
  • Odds Ratio
  • Phosphates / blood*
  • Proportional Hazards Models
  • Proteinuria / diagnosis
  • Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic
  • Renal Insufficiency, Chronic / blood*
  • Renal Insufficiency, Chronic / complications
  • Risk Factors
  • Treatment Outcome

Substances

  • Phosphates

Associated data

  • ISRCTN/ISRCTN56023731

Grant support

The authors have no support or funding to report.