One-year mortality and predictors of death among hospital survivors of acute respiratory distress syndrome

Intensive Care Med. 2014 Mar;40(3):388-96. doi: 10.1007/s00134-013-3186-3. Epub 2014 Jan 17.


Purpose: Advances in supportive care and ventilator management for acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) have resulted in declines in short-term mortality, but risks of death after survival to hospital discharge have not been well described. Our objective was to quantify the difference between short-term and long-term mortality in ARDS and to identify risk factors for death and causes of death at 1 year among hospital survivors.

Methods: This multi-intensive care unit, prospective cohort included patients with ARDS enrolled between January 2006 and February 2010. We determined the clinical characteristics associated with in-hospital and 1-year mortality among hospital survivors and utilized death certificate data to identify causes of death.

Results: Of 646 patients hospitalized with ARDS, mortality at 1 year was substantially higher (41 %, 95% CI 37-45%) than in-hospital mortality (24%, 95% CI 21-27%), P < 0.0001. Among 493 patients who survived to hospital discharge, the 110 (22%) who died in the subsequent year were older (P < 0.001) and more likely to have been discharged to a nursing home, other hospital, or hospice compared to patients alive at 1 year (P < 0.001). Important predictors of death among hospital survivors were comorbidities present at the time of ARDS, and not living at home prior to admission. ARDS-related measures of severity of illness did not emerge as independent predictors of mortality in hospital survivors.

Conclusions: Despite improvements in short-term ARDS outcomes, 1-year mortality is high, mostly because of the large burden of comorbidities, which are prevalent in patients with ARDS.

Publication types

  • Multicenter Study
  • Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural
  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Cause of Death*
  • Comorbidity
  • Creatine / blood
  • Female
  • Hospital Mortality*
  • Humans
  • Intensive Care Units / statistics & numerical data
  • Length of Stay / statistics & numerical data
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Outcome Assessment, Health Care
  • Patient Discharge / statistics & numerical data
  • Prospective Studies
  • Respiratory Distress Syndrome / mortality*
  • Risk Factors
  • Survivors
  • Time Factors


  • Creatine