A frailty index identifies patients at high risk of mortality after tracheostomy

Otolaryngol Head Neck Surg. 2014 Apr;150(4):568-73. doi: 10.1177/0194599813519749. Epub 2014 Jan 16.

Abstract

Objective: To evaluate the utility of a modified frailty index as an indicator of postoperative mortality in patients undergoing tracheostomy.

Study design: Case series with chart review.

Setting: Tertiary care veterans hospital.

Subjects and methods: A chart review was conducted of consecutive tracheostomies performed between April 2007 and September 2012. A modified frailty index consisting of 11 items based on the Revised Minimum Data Set Mortality Rating Index (MMRI-R) was retrospectively applied using the patient's status immediately prior to tracheostomy. The resultant 6-month calculated mortality risk was compared with both the Veterans Health Administration Surgical Quality Improvement Program's (VASQIP) 30-day calculated mortality and actual mortality.

Results: One hundred consecutive tracheostomies were analyzed. No patients were excluded. Sixty-nine patients died within the study period, with 1-, 6-, and 12-month mortality rates of 25%, 43%, and 59%, respectively. The average calculated 6-month mortality risk using the modified frailty index was 40.5% for nonsurvivors compared with 25.4% for survivors (P = .001). Both the VASQIP calculator and modified frailty index differentiated mortality risks between patients without head and neck cancer who survived less than 6 months versus those who survived longer than 6 months (P = .006 and .01). However, neither the VASQIP nor the modified frailty index differentiated mortality risks for head and neck cancer patients who survived less than 6 months versus greater than 6 months (P = .94 and .26).

Conclusion: A modified frailty index identifies patients without head and neck cancer at high risk of postoperative mortality after tracheostomy.

Keywords: VASQIP; frailty; mortality; risk calculator; tracheostomy.

Publication types

  • Comparative Study

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Airway Obstruction / pathology
  • Airway Obstruction / surgery
  • Cause of Death*
  • Cohort Studies
  • Databases, Factual
  • Follow-Up Studies
  • Frail Elderly*
  • Head and Neck Neoplasms / pathology
  • Head and Neck Neoplasms / surgery
  • Hospital Mortality / trends*
  • Hospitals, Veterans
  • Humans
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Pilot Projects
  • Postoperative Complications / mortality*
  • Preoperative Care / methods
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Risk Assessment
  • Severity of Illness Index
  • Survival Analysis
  • Time Factors
  • Tracheostomy / methods
  • Tracheostomy / mortality*