Use of the delta neutrophil index as a prognostic factor of mortality in patients with spontaneous bacterial peritonitis: implications of a simple and useful marker

PLoS One. 2014 Jan 23;9(1):e86884. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0086884. eCollection 2014.

Abstract

Background: Spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP) is a common and life-threatening infection in patients with advanced cirrhosis. The prognostic value of a novel marker, the delta neutrophil index (DNI), was investigated relative to mortality in patients with SBP.

Materials & methods: Seventy-five patients with SBP were studied from April 2010 to May 2012. DNI at initial diagnosis of SBP was determined and compared with 30-day mortality rates.

Results: Of the patients, 87.7% were men, and the median age of all patients was 59.0 yrs. The area under the receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve of DNI for 30-day mortality was 0.701 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.553-0.849; p = 0.009), which was higher than that of C-reactive protein (0.640, 95% CI, 0.494-0.786; p = 0.076) or the model for end-stage liver disease score (0.592, 95% CI, 0.436-0.748; p = 0.235). From the ROC curve, with the sum of sensitivity and specificity, the cutoff value of DNI was determined to be 5.7%. In the high-DNI group (DNI ≥5.7%), septic shock and 30-day mortality were more prevalent compared with the low-DNI group (84.2% vs. 48.2%, p = 0.007; 57.9% vs. 14.3%, p<0.001, respectively). Patients with an elevated DNI had a higher risk of 30-day mortality compared with those with a low DNI (4.225, 95% CI, 1.631-10.949; p = 0.003).

Conclusion: A higher DNI at the time of SBP diagnosis is an independent predictor of 30-day mortality in patients with SBP.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Bacterial Infections / microbiology
  • Bacterial Infections / mortality*
  • Bacterial Infections / pathology
  • Biomarkers / analysis*
  • Female
  • Follow-Up Studies
  • Humans
  • Liver Cirrhosis / microbiology
  • Liver Cirrhosis / mortality*
  • Liver Cirrhosis / pathology
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Neutrophils / pathology*
  • Peritonitis / microbiology
  • Peritonitis / mortality*
  • Peritonitis / pathology
  • Prognosis
  • ROC Curve
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Survival Rate

Substances

  • Biomarkers

Grants and funding

This study was supported by a grant of the Korea Healthcare technology R&D Project, Ministry of Health and Welfare, Republic of Korea (HI10C2020). The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.