Using simulation to compare 4 categories of intervention for reducing cardiovascular disease risks

Am J Public Health. 2014 Jul;104(7):1187-95. doi: 10.2105/AJPH.2013.301816. Epub 2014 May 15.

Abstract

The Prevention Impacts Simulation Model (PRISM) projects the multiyear impacts of 22 different interventions aimed at reducing risk of cardiovascular disease. We grouped these into 4 categories: clinical, behavioral support, health promotion and access, and taxes and regulation. We simulated impacts for the United States overall and also for a less-advantaged county with a higher death rate. Of the 4 categories of intervention, taxes and regulation reduce costs the most in the short term (through 2020) and long term (through 2040) and reduce deaths the most in the long term; they are second to clinical interventions in reducing deaths in the short term. All 4 categories combined were required to bring costs and deaths in the less-advantaged county down to the national level.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Adolescent
  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Blood Glucose
  • Blood Pressure
  • Body Mass Index
  • Cardiovascular Diseases / prevention & control*
  • Computer Simulation*
  • Female
  • Health Behavior*
  • Health Promotion*
  • Humans
  • Lipids / blood
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Poverty Areas
  • Public Health
  • Risk Factors
  • Risk Reduction Behavior*
  • Smoking
  • Socioeconomic Factors
  • Taxes*
  • United States
  • Young Adult

Substances

  • Blood Glucose
  • Lipids