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. 2014 Jun 13;344(6189):1230-2.
doi: 10.1126/science.1251449.

Public health. Measuring the path toward malaria elimination

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Public health. Measuring the path toward malaria elimination

Thomas S Churcher et al. Science. .
No abstract available

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Figures

FIGURE
FIGURE. Tracking malaria transmission
(A) The percentage of imported cases required to confirm that endemic malaria transmission has been halted. If the percentage of imported cases is greater than the solid dark blue line (blue area), there is statistical evidence that malaria is no longer endemic. The tan areas show where the hypothesis that R ≥ 1 cannot be rejected, either because there is insufficient evidence or because endemic transmission is ongoing. (B) The weekly incidence of malaria cases investigated in Swaziland. All cases are likely to be falciparum malaria (9). Orange lines on the x axis indicate the high-transmission season. (C) Estimates of the reproduction number R for each season in Swaziland, with shaded area indicating 95% credibility intervals. See SM for details.

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References

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