A stochastic model of cancer growth subject to an intermittent treatment with combined effects: reduction in tumor size and rise in growth rate

Bull Math Biol. 2014 Nov;76(11):2711-36. doi: 10.1007/s11538-014-0026-8. Epub 2014 Oct 25.

Abstract

A model of cancer growth based on the Gompertz stochastic process with jumps is proposed to analyze the effect of a therapeutic program that provides intermittent suppression of cancer cells. In this context, a jump represents an application of the therapy that shifts the cancer mass to a return state and it produces an increase in the growth rate of the cancer cells. For the resulting process, consisting in a combination of different Gompertz processes characterized by different growth parameters, the first passage time problem is considered. A strategy to select the inter-jump intervals is given so that the first passage time of the process through a constant boundary is as large as possible and the cancer size remains under this control threshold during the treatment. A computational analysis is performed for different choices of involved parameters. Finally, an estimation of parameters based on the maximum likelihood method is provided and some simulations are performed to illustrate the validity of the proposed procedure.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Computer Simulation
  • Humans
  • Likelihood Functions
  • Mathematical Concepts
  • Models, Biological*
  • Neoplasms / pathology*
  • Neoplasms / therapy*
  • Stochastic Processes