Aims/hypothesis: Circulating fibroblast growth factor 21 (FGF21) levels are often elevated in obesity, dyslipidaemia, insulin resistance and type 2 diabetes. This study investigated the relationship of plasma FGF21 levels with cardiovascular events in patients with type 2 diabetes.
Methods: Plasma FGF21 levels were measured by ELISA at baseline in 9,697 individuals with type 2 diabetes participating in the Fenofibrate Intervention and Event Lowering in Diabetes (FIELD) study. We assessed the association of FGF21 levels with the incidence of different cardiovascular outcomes over 5 years. The primary outcome was total cardiovascular disease (CVD) events and the secondary outcomes were the four individual components: coronary heart disease events, total stroke, CVD mortality and coronary and carotid revascularisation. The tertiary outcome was hospitalisation for angina pectoris.
Results: Higher baseline FGF21 levels were associated with higher risks of all cardiovascular outcome events after adjusting for the study treatment allocation (all p < 0.01). The associations remained significant for total CVD events and for coronary and carotid revascularisation after further adjusting for confounding factors, with the HR (95% CI) being 1.28 (1.10, 1.50) and 1.26 (1.01, 1.56), respectively, for the highest tertile compared with the lowest tertile (overall effect p = 0.002 and 0.007, respectively). The addition of FGF21 levels to a model including established CVD risk factors predicting total CVD events led to a non-significant increase in the C-statistic but there was a significant improvement in integrated discrimination and net reclassification.
Conclusions/interpretation: Higher baseline plasma FGF21 levels were associated with higher risk of cardiovascular events in patients with type 2 diabetes.
Trial registration: ISRCTN64783481.