Psychological Language on Twitter Predicts County-Level Heart Disease Mortality

Psychol Sci. 2015 Feb;26(2):159-69. doi: 10.1177/0956797614557867. Epub 2015 Jan 20.

Abstract

Hostility and chronic stress are known risk factors for heart disease, but they are costly to assess on a large scale. We used language expressed on Twitter to characterize community-level psychological correlates of age-adjusted mortality from atherosclerotic heart disease (AHD). Language patterns reflecting negative social relationships, disengagement, and negative emotions-especially anger-emerged as risk factors; positive emotions and psychological engagement emerged as protective factors. Most correlations remained significant after controlling for income and education. A cross-sectional regression model based only on Twitter language predicted AHD mortality significantly better than did a model that combined 10 common demographic, socioeconomic, and health risk factors, including smoking, diabetes, hypertension, and obesity. Capturing community psychological characteristics through social media is feasible, and these characteristics are strong markers of cardiovascular mortality at the community level.

Keywords: big data; emotions; heart disease; language; open data; open materials; risk factors; social media; well-being.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Coronary Artery Disease / mortality*
  • Coronary Artery Disease / psychology*
  • Cross-Sectional Studies
  • Data Collection / statistics & numerical data
  • Emotions
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Language
  • Male
  • Models, Psychological
  • Models, Statistical
  • Regression Analysis
  • Risk Factors
  • Social Media / statistics & numerical data*
  • United States / epidemiology