Optimization modeling to maximize population access to comprehensive stroke centers

Neurology. 2015 Mar 24;84(12):1196-205. doi: 10.1212/WNL.0000000000001390. Epub 2015 Mar 4.

Abstract

Objective: The location of comprehensive stroke centers (CSCs) is critical to ensuring rapid access to acute stroke therapies; we conducted a population-level virtual trial simulating change in access to CSCs using optimization modeling to selectively convert primary stroke centers (PSCs) to CSCs.

Methods: Up to 20 certified PSCs per state were selected for conversion to maximize the population with 60-minute CSC access by ground and air. Access was compared across states based on region and the presence of state-level emergency medical service policies preferentially routing patients to stroke centers.

Results: In 2010, there were 811 Joint Commission PSCs and 0 CSCs in the United States. Of the US population, 65.8% had 60-minute ground access to PSCs. After adding up to 20 optimally located CSCs per state, 63.1% of the US population had 60-minute ground access and 86.0% had 60-minute ground/air access to a CSC. Across states, median CSC access was 55.7% by ground (interquartile range 35.7%-71.5%) and 85.3% by ground/air (interquartile range 59.8%-92.1%). Ground access was lower in Stroke Belt states compared with non-Stroke Belt states (32.0% vs 58.6%, p = 0.02) and lower in states without emergency medical service routing policies (52.7% vs 68.3%, p = 0.04).

Conclusion: Optimal system simulation can be used to develop efficient care systems that maximize accessibility. Under optimal conditions, a large proportion of the US population will be unable to access a CSC within 60 minutes.

Publication types

  • Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural

MeSH terms

  • Health Services Accessibility / statistics & numerical data*
  • Health Services Research / methods*
  • Hospitals, Special / statistics & numerical data*
  • Humans
  • Models, Organizational*
  • Stroke / therapy*
  • Time-to-Treatment / statistics & numerical data*
  • Transportation of Patients / statistics & numerical data*
  • United States