Risk Analysis for Unintentional Slide Deployment During Airline Operations

Risk Anal. 2015 Sep;35(9):1652-62. doi: 10.1111/risa.12428. Epub 2015 Jun 8.

Abstract

We present a risk analysis undertaken to mitigate problems in relation to the unintended deployment of slides under normal operations within a commercial airline. This type of incident entails relevant costs for the airline industry. After assessing the likelihood and severity of its consequences, we conclude that such risks need to be managed. We then evaluate the effectiveness of various countermeasures, describing and justifying the chosen ones. We also discuss several issues faced when implementing and communicating the proposed measures, thus fully illustrating the risk analysis process.

Keywords: Aviation safety; Bayesian analysis; cost models; risk analysis; risk communication.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Accidents, Aviation* / economics
  • Accidents, Aviation* / prevention & control
  • Accidents, Aviation* / statistics & numerical data
  • Aircraft / economics
  • Aviation* / economics
  • Aviation* / statistics & numerical data
  • Bayes Theorem
  • Costs and Cost Analysis
  • Humans
  • Likelihood Functions
  • Models, Economic
  • Risk Assessment / methods
  • Risk Assessment / statistics & numerical data
  • Safety Management