The Influence of Weather Conditions on Joint Pain in Older People with Osteoarthritis: Results from the European Project on OSteoArthritis

J Rheumatol. 2015 Oct;42(10):1885-92. doi: 10.3899/jrheum.141594. Epub 2015 Sep 1.


Objective: This study examined whether daily weather conditions, 3-day average weather conditions, and changes in weather conditions influence joint pain in older people with osteoarthritis (OA) in 6 European countries.

Methods: Data from the population-based European Project on OSteoArthritis were used. The American College of Rheumatology classification criteria were used to diagnose OA in older people (65-85 yrs). After the baseline interview, at 6 months, and after the 12-18 months followup interview, joint pain was assessed using 2-week pain calendars. Daily values for temperature, precipitation, atmospheric pressure, relative humidity, and wind speed were obtained from local weather stations. Multilevel regression modelling was used to examine the pain-weather associations, adjusted for several confounders.

Results: The study included 810 participants with OA in the knee, hand, and/or hip. After adjustment, there were significant associations of joint pain with daily average humidity (B = 0.004, p < 0.01) and 3-day average humidity (B = 0.004, p = 0.01). A significant interaction effect was found between daily average humidity and temperature on joint pain. The effect of humidity on pain was stronger in relatively cold weather conditions. Changes in weather variables between 2 consecutive days were not significantly associated with reported joint pain.

Conclusion: The associations between pain and daily average weather conditions suggest that a causal relationship exist between joint pain and weather variables, but the associations between day-to-day weather changes and pain do not confirm causation. Knowledge about the relationship between joint pain in OA and weather may help individuals with OA, physicians, and therapists to better understand and manage fluctuations in pain.


Publication types

  • Multicenter Study
  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Age Factors
  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Analgesics / therapeutic use
  • Arthralgia / drug therapy
  • Arthralgia / physiopathology
  • Circadian Rhythm
  • Cohort Studies
  • Environment*
  • Europe
  • Female
  • Geriatric Assessment
  • Humans
  • Humidity*
  • Male
  • Multivariate Analysis
  • Osteoarthritis / drug therapy
  • Osteoarthritis / epidemiology
  • Osteoarthritis / physiopathology*
  • Pain Measurement
  • Pain Perception
  • Regression Analysis
  • Risk Assessment
  • Severity of Illness Index
  • Sex Factors
  • Temperature
  • Weather*


  • Analgesics