Usefulness of serum interleukin-18 in predicting cardiovascular mortality in patients with chronic kidney disease--systems and clinical approach

Sci Rep. 2015 Dec 16:5:18332. doi: 10.1038/srep18332.

Abstract

The aim of this study was to check if serum interleukin-18 (IL-18) predicts 2-year cardiovascular mortality in patients at various stages of chronic kidney disease (CKD) and history of acute myocardial infarction (AMI) within the previous year. Diabetes mellitus was one of the key factors of exclusion. It was found that an increase in serum concentration of IL-18 above the cut-off point (1584.5 pg/mL) was characterized by 20.63-fold higher risk of cardiovascular deaths among studied patients. IL-18 serum concentration was found to be superior to the well-known cardiovascular risk parameters, like high sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP), carotid intima media thickness (CIMT), glomerular filtration rate, albumins, ferritin, N-terminal prohormone of brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) in prognosis of cardiovascular mortality. The best predictive for IL-18 were 4 variables, such as CIMT, NT-proBNP, albumins and hsCRP, as they predicted its concentration at 89.5%. Concluding, IL-18 seems to be important indicator and predictor of cardiovascular death in two-year follow-up among non-diabetic patients suffering from CKD, with history of AMI in the previous year. The importance of IL-18 in the process of atherosclerotic plaque formation has been confirmed by systems analysis based on a formal model expressed in the language of Petri nets theory.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • C-Reactive Protein / metabolism
  • Carotid Intima-Media Thickness
  • Follow-Up Studies
  • Humans
  • Interleukin-18 / blood*
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Myocardial Infarction* / blood
  • Myocardial Infarction* / etiology
  • Myocardial Infarction* / mortality
  • Myocardial Infarction* / pathology
  • Natriuretic Peptide, Brain / blood
  • Peptide Fragments / blood
  • Plaque, Atherosclerotic* / blood
  • Plaque, Atherosclerotic* / complications
  • Plaque, Atherosclerotic* / mortality
  • Plaque, Atherosclerotic* / pathology
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • Renal Insufficiency, Chronic* / blood
  • Renal Insufficiency, Chronic* / complications
  • Renal Insufficiency, Chronic* / mortality
  • Renal Insufficiency, Chronic* / pathology

Substances

  • IL18 protein, human
  • Interleukin-18
  • Peptide Fragments
  • pro-brain natriuretic peptide (1-76)
  • Natriuretic Peptide, Brain
  • C-Reactive Protein