Comparative Effectiveness of Interventions for Stroke Prevention in Atrial Fibrillation: A Network Meta-Analysis

J Am Heart Assoc. 2016 May 20;5(5):e003206. doi: 10.1161/JAHA.116.003206.

Abstract

Background: The goal of this study was to compare the safety and effectiveness of individual antiembolic interventions in nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (AF): novel oral anticoagulants (NOACs) (apixaban, dabigatran, edoxaban, and rivaroxaban); vitamin K antagonists (VKA); aspirin; and the Watchman device.

Methods and results: A network meta-analysis of randomized, clinical trials (RCTs) was performed. RCTs that included patients with prosthetic cardiac valves or mitral stenosis, mean or median follow-up <6 months, <200 participants, without published report in English language, and NOAC phase II studies were excluded. The placebo/control arm received either placebo or no treatment. The primary efficacy outcome was the combination of stroke (of any type) and systemic embolism. All-cause mortality served as a secondary efficacy outcome. The primary safety outcome was the combination of major extracranial bleeding and intracranial hemorrhage. A total of 21 RCTs (96 017 nonvalvular AF patients; median age, 72 years; 65% males; median follow-up, 1.7 years) were included. In comparison to placebo/control, use of aspirin (odds ratio [OR], 0.75 [95% CI, 0.60-0.95]), VKA (0.38 [0.29-0.49]), apixaban (0.31 [0.22-0.45]), dabigatran (0.29 [0.20-0.43]), edoxaban (0.38 [0.26-0.54]), rivaroxaban (0.27 [0.18-0.42]), and the Watchman device (0.36 [0.16-0.80]) significantly reduced the risk of any stroke or systemic embolism in nonvalvular AF patients, as well as all-cause mortality (aspirin: OR, 0.82 [0.68-0.99]; VKA: 0.69 [0.57-0.85]; apixaban: 0.62 [0.50-0.78]; dabigatran: 0.62 [0.50-0.78]; edoxaban: 0.62 [0.50-0.77]; rivaroxaban: 0.58 [0.44-0.77]; and the Watchman device: 0.47 [0.25-0.88]). Apixaban (0.89 [0.80-0.99]), dabigatran (0.90 [0.82-0.99]), and edoxaban (0.89 [0.82-0.96]) reduced risk of all-cause death as compared to VKA.

Conclusions: The entire spectrum of therapy to prevent thromboembolism in nonvalvular AF significantly reduced stroke/systemic embolism events and mortality.

Keywords: anticoagulation; atrial fibrillation; comparative effectiveness; left atrial appendage; nonvalvular; oral anticoagulants; stroke; vitamin K antagonists; watchman.

Publication types

  • Comparative Study
  • Network Meta-Analysis

MeSH terms

  • Anticoagulants / therapeutic use*
  • Atrial Appendage / surgery*
  • Atrial Fibrillation / complications
  • Atrial Fibrillation / therapy*
  • Dabigatran / therapeutic use
  • Hemorrhage / chemically induced
  • Hemorrhage / epidemiology
  • Humans
  • Intracranial Hemorrhages / chemically induced
  • Intracranial Hemorrhages / epidemiology*
  • Pyrazoles / therapeutic use
  • Pyridines / therapeutic use
  • Pyridones / therapeutic use
  • Rivaroxaban / therapeutic use
  • Stroke / etiology
  • Stroke / prevention & control*
  • Thiazoles / therapeutic use
  • Warfarin / therapeutic use

Substances

  • Anticoagulants
  • Pyrazoles
  • Pyridines
  • Pyridones
  • Thiazoles
  • apixaban
  • Warfarin
  • Rivaroxaban
  • Dabigatran
  • edoxaban