Mapping Malaria Risk in Low Transmission Settings: Challenges and Opportunities

Trends Parasitol. 2016 Aug;32(8):635-645. doi: 10.1016/ Epub 2016 May 26.


As malaria transmission declines, it becomes increasingly focal and prone to outbreaks. Understanding and predicting patterns of transmission risk becomes an important component of an effective elimination campaign, allowing limited resources for control and elimination to be targeted cost-effectively. Malaria risk mapping in low transmission settings is associated with some unique challenges. This article reviews the main challenges and opportunities related to risk mapping in low transmission areas including recent advancements in risk mapping low transmission malaria, relevant metrics, and statistical approaches and risk mapping in post-elimination settings.

Publication types

  • Review
  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
  • Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural

MeSH terms

  • Disease Eradication* / economics
  • Humans
  • Malaria / economics
  • Malaria / epidemiology
  • Malaria / prevention & control
  • Malaria / transmission*
  • Risk Assessment / economics
  • Risk Assessment / standards