Objectives: The second phase of Healthy Japan 21 seeks to increase disability-free life expectancy (DFLE) more than life expectancy (LE) between 2013 and 2022. In the face of the rising incidence of disability, the feasibility of achieving this goal remains unclear.
Methods: We examine changes in DFLE at birth between 2000 and 2010 across 47 prefectures, with particular attention given to changes in the absolute number of years and in the proportion of disability-free life years.
Results: Although LE increased across all prefectures, there is a variation in DFLE. While the number of disability-free life years increased in many parts of the country, some prefectures had decreases in DFLE. Downturns become particularly evident when DFLE is interpreted in relative terms. The proportion of life spent without disability declined in the majority of prefectures.
Conclusions: Results from subnational level analyses suggest that the rate of increase in DFLE lagged behind that in LE across Japanese prefectures during the past decade. More policy attention should be devoted to health-promotion initiatives at the prefecture level to achieve the nationwide health agenda.
Keywords: Disability-free life expectancy; Health expectancy; Japan; Morbidity; Mortality.