The CR-POSSUM Risk Calculator Predicts Failure of Enhanced Recovery after Colorectal Surgery

Acta Chir Belg. 2015 Jan;115(1):20-6. doi: 10.1080/00015458.2015.11681062.

Abstract

Aims: To determine predictors of failed enhanced recovery after surgery (ERAS) in patients after elective colorectal surgery.

Methods: A cohort of 55 patients undergoing elective colorectal surgery was monitored prospectively. Perioperative care was based on a previously established protocol for ERAS. Pre-, intra-, and postoperative parameters were analyzed to elicit predictors of ERAS failure. ERAS failure was defined as prolonged hospital stay (> 7 days). The risk calculator CR-POSSUM was evaluated for its clinical utility.

Results: Body mass index (BMI) or the American Society of Anesthesiologists score (ASA) was not associated with ERAS failure on univariate analysis, but patients that failed ERAS were significantly older (64 y vs 54 y; p = 0.023). Prolonged length of stay (>7 days) was also associated with an open approach (p = 0.009), intraoperative nasogastric tube placement (p = 0.005), blood loss > 500 ml (p = 0.008), stoma formation (p = 0.006) and insertion of more than one intraabdominal drain during surgery (p = 0.005). Postoperative continuation of intravenous fluids (p = 0.027), reinsertion of urinary catheter (p = 0.045) and postoperative ileus (p = 0.020) were also strongly associated with delayed discharge on univariate analysis. After multivariate analysis the preoperative parameters CR-POSSUM score (p = 0.022), increasing BMI (p = 0.014) and preoperative albumin level (p = 0.031) were all independently associated with failure of ERAS.

Conclusions: A variety of perioperative factors contribute to failure of ERAS in routine practice. CR-POSSUM can help to identify patients at risk for possible failure of ERAS. This may help to optimize avoidable factors, or accommodate those patients likely to require a longer post-operative stay.

Publication types

  • Observational Study

MeSH terms

  • Academic Medical Centers
  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Cause of Death*
  • Cohort Studies
  • Colorectal Neoplasms / diagnosis
  • Colorectal Neoplasms / mortality
  • Colorectal Neoplasms / surgery
  • Colorectal Surgery / adverse effects
  • Colorectal Surgery / methods*
  • Disease-Free Survival
  • Elective Surgical Procedures / methods
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Logistic Models
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Multivariate Analysis
  • Perioperative Care / methods
  • Postoperative Care / methods*
  • Postoperative Complications / mortality*
  • Postoperative Complications / physiopathology
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • Prospective Studies
  • Recovery of Function
  • Risk Assessment
  • Risk Factors
  • Survival Rate
  • Time Factors