Provisioning of Public Health Can Be Designed to Anticipate Public Policy Responses

Bull Math Biol. 2017 Jan;79(1):163-190. doi: 10.1007/s11538-016-0231-8. Epub 2016 Dec 6.

Abstract

Public health policies can elicit strong responses from individuals. These responses can promote, reduce, and even reverse the expected benefits of the policies. Therefore, projections of individual responses to policy can be important ingredients in policy design. Yet our foresight of individual responses to public health investment remains limited. This paper formulates a population game describing the prevention of infectious disease transmission when community health depends on the interactions of individual and public investments. We compare three common relationships between public and individual investments and explain how each relationship alters policy responses and health outcomes. Our methods illustrate how identifying system interactions between nature and society can help us anticipate policy responses.

Keywords: Community health; Epidemiological games; Health commons; Infectious disease; Policy reinforcement; Policy resistance.

Publication types

  • Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural
  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Communicable Disease Control / methods
  • Communicable Disease Control / statistics & numerical data
  • Game Theory
  • Humans
  • Mathematical Concepts
  • Models, Biological
  • Public Health*
  • Public Policy*
  • Systems Theory