Modeling and Managing the Risks of Measles and Rubella: A Global Perspective Part II

Risk Anal. 2017 Jun;37(6):1041-1051. doi: 10.1111/risa.12823. Epub 2017 May 4.


Measles and rubella continue to circulate globally. Complementing Part I of the special issue, this introduction provides a contrast between other global eradication initiatives and the experience with measles and rubella eradication to date. This introduction builds on the syntheses of the literature provided in Part I and it describes the creation and application of a national risk assessment tool and the development of a dynamic disease transmission model to support global efforts to optimally manage measles and rubella globally using vaccines. Currently, efforts to eradicate measles and rubella suffer from the lack of a commitment to global eradication by key stakeholders, despite strong evidence that their eradication represents a better health and financial option than continued control.

Keywords: Infectious disease; measles; modeling; rubella.

Publication types

  • Historical Article
  • Research Support, U.S. Gov't, P.H.S.

MeSH terms

  • Disease Eradication / history
  • Disease Eradication / methods*
  • Global Health
  • History, 20th Century
  • History, 21st Century
  • Humans
  • Measles / epidemiology
  • Measles / prevention & control*
  • Risk Assessment / methods*
  • Rubella / epidemiology
  • Rubella / prevention & control*
  • Time Factors
  • Vaccines
  • World Health Organization


  • Vaccines