What was the population of Great Zimbabwe (CE1000 - 1800)?

PLoS One. 2017 Jun 14;12(6):e0178335. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0178335. eCollection 2017.

Abstract

The World Heritage Site of Great Zimbabwe is one of the most iconic and largest archaeological settlements in Africa. It was the hub of direct and indirect trade which internally connected various areas of southern Africa, and externally linked them with East Africa and the Near and Far East. Archaeologists believe that at its peak, Great Zimbabwe had a fully urban population of 20,000 people concentrated in approximately 2.9 square kilometres (40 percent of 720 ha). This translates to a population density of 6,897, which is comparable with that of some of the most populous regions of the world in the 21st century. Here, we combine archaeological, ethnographic and historical evidence with ecological and statistical modelling to demonstrate that the total population estimate for the site's nearly 800-year occupational duration (CE1000-1800), after factoring in generational succession, is unlikely to have exceeded 10,000 people. This conclusion is strongly firmed up by the absence of megamiddens at the site, the chronological differences between several key areas of the settlement traditionally assumed to be coeval, and the historically documented low populations recorded for the sub-continent between CE1600 and 1950.

Publication types

  • Historical Article

MeSH terms

  • Africa, Southern
  • History, Ancient
  • Humans
  • Models, Theoretical
  • Population Dynamics / history*
  • Socioeconomic Factors
  • Zimbabwe

Grants and funding

Funding was provided by the National Research Foundation of South Africa through grants 913147 and 91340 awarded to Shadreck Chirikure. Additional funding was sourced from the University of Cape Town.