Menopausal hormone therapy and cancer risk: An overestimated risk?

Eur J Cancer. 2017 Oct;84:60-68. doi: 10.1016/j.ejca.2017.07.012. Epub 2017 Aug 4.

Abstract

Aim: We aimed to assess the overall cancer risk among contemporary menopausal hormone therapy (MHT) users in Sweden and the risk for different cancer types.

Methods: A nationwide Swedish population-based cohort study including all 290,186 women aged ≥ 40 years having used systemic MHT during the study period (July 2005 and December 2012), compared with the Swedish female background population. MHT ever-use (all MHT, oestrogen-only MHT [E-MHT] and oestrogen plus progestin MHT [EP-MHT]) was based on the nationwide Prescribed Drug Registry. Cancer diagnoses were grouped into 16 different anatomical locations, for which standardised incidence ratios (SIRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated.

Results: The SIR of any cancer was 1.09 (95% CI: 1.07-1.11) following ever MHT, 1.04 (95% CI: 1.01-1.06) for E-MHT and 1.14 (95% CI: 1.12-1.17) for EP-MHT. The highest SIR was found for EP-MHT among users aged ≥70 years (SIR = 1.33, 95% CI: 1.26-1.40). The risk for invasive breast, endometrial or ovarian cancer combined was increased for any MHT (SIR = 1.31, 95% CI: 1.28-1.34). The risk of invasive breast cancer was increased following MHT and increased with age for EP-MHT users. The risk of gastrointestinal cancers combined was decreased (SIR = 0.90, 95% CI: 0.86-0.94), particularly the oesophagus (SIR = 0.81, 95% CI: 0.64-1.00), liver (SIR = 0.81, 95% CI: 0.65-0.99) and colon (SIR = 0.90, 95% CI: 0.84-0.95).

Conclusions: MHT, notably EP-MHT, was associated with a limited increase in overall cancer risk. The increased risk of female reproductive organ cancers was almost balanced by a decreased risk of gastrointestinal cancers.

Keywords: Breast neoplasms; Digestive system neoplasms; Female; Genital neoplasms; Hormone replacement therapy; Menopause; Neoplasms; Oestrogen replacement therapy.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Breast Neoplasms / chemically induced
  • Breast Neoplasms / epidemiology
  • Digestive System Neoplasms / epidemiology
  • Digestive System Neoplasms / prevention & control
  • Drug Administration Schedule
  • Drug Compounding
  • Endometrial Neoplasms / chemically induced
  • Endometrial Neoplasms / epidemiology
  • Estrogen Replacement Therapy / adverse effects*
  • Estrogens / administration & dosage
  • Estrogens / adverse effects*
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Incidence
  • Menopause*
  • Middle Aged
  • Neoplasms / chemically induced*
  • Neoplasms / diagnosis
  • Neoplasms / epidemiology*
  • Neoplasms / prevention & control
  • Ovarian Neoplasms / chemically induced
  • Ovarian Neoplasms / epidemiology
  • Progestins / administration & dosage
  • Progestins / adverse effects*
  • Protective Factors
  • Registries
  • Risk Assessment
  • Risk Factors
  • Sweden / epidemiology
  • Time Factors

Substances

  • Estrogens
  • Progestins