Worldwide Burden of and Trends in Mortality From Gallbladder and Other Biliary Tract Cancers

Abstract

Background & aims: Gallbladder cancer has a low rate of survival, a unique geographic distribution, and is associated with lifestyle factors that have changed in recent decades. We investigated recent mortality patterns and trends worldwide.

Methods: We collected data from the World Health Organization's Cancer Mortality Database to examine sex-specific, age-standardized rates of death from gallbladder and other biliary tract cancers (excluding intrahepatic bile duct cancer; International Classification of Diseases, 9th revision, code 156, or International Classification of Diseases, 10th revision, code C23-24). We compiled cross-sectional rates of mortality from 2009 through 2013 from 50 countries, and also trends over time from 1985 through 2014, using joinpoint regression analysis of data from 45 countries.

Results: Among women, from 2009 through 2013, there was a 26-fold variation in rates of mortality from gallbladder and other biliary tract cancers; rates ranged from 0.8 deaths per 100,000 in South Africa to 21.2 deaths per 100,000 in Chile. Among men, rates varied 16-fold, from 0.6 deaths per 100,000 in the United Kingdom and Ireland to 9.9 deaths per 100,000 in Chile. Rates of mortality were higher for women than men in 22 of 48 countries for which comparison was possible. Mortality rates are decreasing in most countries, with decreases in the highest-risk populations of 2% or more annually (except Croatia). However, rates continued their long-term increase in Greece, by 1.4% annually in women and 4.7% annually in men from 1985 through 2012, and began increasing in the mid-2000s by 1.9% or more annually in women in the United Kingdom and The Netherlands and in men in Germany.

Conclusions: In an analysis of the World Health Organization's Cancer Mortality Database, we found that rates of death from gallbladder and other biliary tract cancers are decreasing in most countries but increasing in some high-income countries following decades of decline. These emerging trends may reflect lifestyle changes, such as increases in excess body weight.

Keywords: Cancer Registries; Epidemiology; Gastrointestinal Cancer; Surveillance.