Background: A history of past exacerbations is a predictor of future events for patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). Very little is known about the effect of pharmacologic therapies on patients with frequent or infrequent exacerbations. Methods: We conducted a post-hoc analysis of the Understanding Potential Long-term Impacts on Function with Tiotropium (UPLIFT®)trial database. Patients were classified as having a low risk of exacerbations if they experienced ≤1 exacerbation and no COPD-related hospitalization(s) in the year preceding trial entry or as high risk of exacerbations if they had ≥2 exacerbations (courses of oral steroids/antibiotics) or ≥1 COPD-related hospitalization(s) in the year preceding the trial. Results: In patients at low risk or high risk for exacerbations, compared to placebo, tiotropium significantly reduced: 1) the time to first COPD exacerbation (hazard ratio [HR]: 0.81; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.74, 0.88; p <0.0001; HR: 0.89; 95% CI: 0.81, 0.97; p=0.0066, respectively); 2) the number of COPD exacerbations (rate ratio [RR]: 0.79; 95% CI: 0.72, 0.86; p<0.0001; RR: 0.88; 95% CI: 0.81; 0.95; p=0.0009). Furthermore, upon treatment with tiotropium, the proportion of patients transitioning from the low- to the high-risk exacerbations group was statistically lower compared to placebo (RR: 0.78; 95% CI: 0.67, 0.92; p=0.0030) Conclusions: This analysis shows that tiotropium reduces the risk of subsequent exacerbation and also prolongs time to first exacerbation, in both the high- and low-risk exacerbator subgroups. It also decreases the proportion of patients who shift from the low- to the high-risk exacerbations group compared to placebo.
Keywords: UPLIFT®; copd; exacerbations; tiotropium.