A 2018 Horizon Scan of Emerging Issues for Global Conservation and Biological Diversity

Trends Ecol Evol. 2018 Jan;33(1):47-58. doi: 10.1016/j.tree.2017.11.006. Epub 2017 Dec 4.


This is our ninth annual horizon scan to identify emerging issues that we believe could affect global biological diversity, natural capital and ecosystem services, and conservation efforts. Our diverse and international team, with expertise in horizon scanning, science communication, as well as conservation science, practice, and policy, reviewed 117 potential issues. We identified the 15 that may have the greatest positive or negative effects but are not yet well recognised by the global conservation community. Themes among these topics include new mechanisms driving the emergence and geographic expansion of diseases, innovative biotechnologies, reassessments of global change, and the development of strategic infrastructure to facilitate global economic priorities.

Keywords: biotechnology; climate change; emerging disease; environment; futures; novel issues; predictions.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
  • Review

MeSH terms

  • Biodiversity*
  • Conservation of Natural Resources*
  • Ecosystem*