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. 2017 Dec 1;46(6):1814-1822.
doi: 10.1093/ije/dyx131.

Body mass index and breast cancer survival: a Mendelian randomization analysis

Qi Guo  1 Stephen Burgess  1   2 Constance Turman  3 Manjeet K Bolla  4 Qin Wang  4 Michael Lush  4 Jean Abraham  5   6 Kristiina Aittomäki  7 Irene L Andrulis  8   9 Carmel Apicella  10 Volker Arndt  11 Myrto Barrdahl  12 Javier Benitez  13   14 Christine D Berg  15 Carl Blomqvist  16 Stig E Bojesen  17   18 Bernardo Bonanni  19 Judith S Brand  20 Hermann Brenner  11   21   22 Annegien Broeks  23 Barbara Burwinkel  24   25 Carlos Caldas  6   26   27 Daniele Campa  28 Federico Canzian  29 Jenny Chang-Claude  12   30 Stephen J Chanock  15 Suet-Feung Chin  27 Fergus J Couch  31 Angela Cox  32 Simon S Cross  33 Cezary Cybulski  34 Kamila Czene  20 Hatef Darabi  20 Peter Devilee  35   36 W Ryan Diver  37 Alison M Dunning  5 Helena M Earl  6   26 Diana M Eccles  38 Arif B Ekici  39 Mikael Eriksson  20 D Gareth Evans  40 Peter A Fasching  41   42 Jonine Figueroa  15   43 Dieter Flesch-Janys  44   45 Henrik Flyger  46 Susan M Gapstur  37 Mia M Gaudet  37 Graham G Giles  10   47 Gord Glendon  8 Mervi Grip  48 Jacek Gronwald  34 Lothar Haeberle  41 Christopher A Haiman  49 Per Hall  20 Ute Hamann  50 Susan Hankinson  51 Jaana M Hartikainen  52   53 Alexander Hein  41 Louise Hiller  54 Frans B Hogervorst  55 Bernd Holleczek  56 Maartje J Hooning  57 Robert N Hoover  15 Keith Humphreys  20 David J Hunter  3   58 Anika Hüsing  12 Anna Jakubowska  34 Arja Jukkola-Vuorinen  59 Rudolf Kaaks  12 Maria Kabisch  50 Vesa Kataja  52   60 kConFab/AOCS InvestigatorsJulia A Knight  61   62 Linetta B Koppert  63 Veli-Matti Kosma  1 Vessela N Kristensen  64   65   66 Diether Lambrechts  67   68 Loic Le Marchand  69 Jingmei Li  20 Annika Lindblom  70 Sara Lindström  3   71 Jolanta Lissowska  72 Jan Lubinski  34 Mitchell J Machiela  15 Arto Mannermaa  52   73   53 Siranoush Manoukian  74 Sara Margolin  75 Federik Marme  24   76 John W M Martens  57 Catriona McLean  77 Primitiva Menéndez  78 Roger L Milne  10   47 Anna Marie Mulligan  79   80 Taru A Muranen  81 Heli Nevanlinna  81 Patrick Neven  82 Sune F Nielsen  17   83 Børge G Nordestgaard  17   83   18 Janet E Olson  84 Jose I A Perez  85 Paolo Peterlongo  86 Kelly-Anne Phillips  10   87   88   89 Christopher J Poole  54 Katri Pylkäs  90   91 Paolo Radice  92 Nazneen Rahman  93 Thomas Rüdiger  94 Anja Rudolph  12 Elinor J Sawyer  95 Fredrick Schumacher  96 Petra Seibold  12 Caroline Seynaeve  57 Mitul Shah  5 Ann Smeets  82 Melissa C Southey  97 Rob A E M Tollenaar  98 Ian Tomlinson  99 Helen Tsimiklis  97 Hans-Ulrich Ulmer  100 Celine Vachon  84 Ans M W van den Ouweland  101 Laura J Van't Veer  23 Hans Wildiers  82 Walter Willett  102 Robert Winqvist  90   91 M Pilar Zamora  103 Georgia Chenevix-Trench  104 Thilo Dörk  105 Douglas F Easton  4   5 Montserrat García-Closas  15 Peter Kraft  3   58 John L Hopper  10 Wei Zheng  106 Marjanka K Schmidt  23   107 Paul D P Pharoah  4   5
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Body mass index and breast cancer survival: a Mendelian randomization analysis

Qi Guo et al. Int J Epidemiol. .

Abstract

Background: There is increasing evidence that elevated body mass index (BMI) is associated with reduced survival for women with breast cancer. However, the underlying reasons remain unclear. We conducted a Mendelian randomization analysis to investigate a possible causal role of BMI in survival from breast cancer.

Methods: We used individual-level data from six large breast cancer case-cohorts including a total of 36 210 individuals (2475 events) of European ancestry. We created a BMI genetic risk score (GRS) based on genotypes at 94 known BMI-associated genetic variants. Association between the BMI genetic score and breast cancer survival was analysed by Cox regression for each study separately. Study-specific hazard ratios were pooled using fixed-effect meta-analysis.

Results: BMI genetic score was found to be associated with reduced breast cancer-specific survival for estrogen receptor (ER)-positive cases [hazard ratio (HR) = 1.11, per one-unit increment of GRS, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.01-1.22, P = 0.03). We observed no association for ER-negative cases (HR = 1.00, per one-unit increment of GRS, 95% CI 0.89-1.13, P = 0.95).

Conclusions: Our findings suggest a causal effect of increased BMI on reduced breast cancer survival for ER-positive breast cancer. There is no evidence of a causal effect of higher BMI on survival for ER-negative breast cancer cases.

Keywords: Body mass index; Mendelian randomization; breast cancer survival; epidemiology; genetics.

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Figures

Figure 1
Figure 1
Genetic associations of BMI GRS and breast cancer survival for ER-positive cases. (A) Scatter plot of log hazard ratio of genetic associations with breast cancer survival for ER-positive cases against log odds ratio of association with BMI. Slope of the regression lines: inverse variance-weighted (dotted) and MR-Egger (dashed) provide an estimate of the predicted log hazard ratio per unit increase in BMI. (B) Funnel plot of minor allele frequency (MAF)-corrected log odds ratio of genetic associations with BMI against log hazard ratio per predicted unit increase in BMI on breast cancer survival for each genetic variant individually.

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