Early Predictors for Long-Term Functional Outcome After Mild Traumatic Brain Injury in Frail Elderly Patients

Abstract

Objective: To identify the effect of frailty and early postinjury measures on the long-term outcome after mild traumatic brain injury in elderly patients.

Setting: Patients admitted to 3 Dutch hospitals designated as level 1 trauma centers.

Participants: The elderly (≥60 years) with mild traumatic brain injury (N = 161).

Design: A prospective observational cohort study.

Main measures: Posttraumatic complaints and the Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale determined 2 weeks postinjury; the Glasgow Outcome Scale Extended and Groningen frailty indicator determined 1 to 3 years postinjury.

Results: A total of 102 nonfrail (63%) and 59 frail elderly (37%) patients, mean age of 70.8 (6.3) years were included. Most patients (54%; 72% nonfrail and 24% frail) recovered completely 1 to 3 years postinjury. Two weeks postinjury, 81% had posttraumatic complaints (83% frail and 80% nonfrail elderly), and 30% showed emotional distress (50% frail and 20% nonfrail). Frailty (odds ratio, 2.1; 95% confidence interval, 1.59-2.77) and presence of early complaints (odds ratio, 1.13; 95% confidence interval, 1.01-1.27) (Nagelkerke R = 46%) were found to predict long-term outcome, whereas age was not a significant predictor.

Conclusion: The frail elderly had worse long-term outcome, and early complaints were found to be a stronger predictor of unfavorable outcome than age. Understanding the implications of frailty on outcome could help clinicians recognize patients at risk of a poor outcome and allocate care more efficiently.