An Instrument for Estimating the 6-Month Survival Probability After Whole-brain Irradiation Alone for Cerebral Metastases from Gynecological Cancer

Anticancer Res. 2018 Jun;38(6):3753-3756. doi: 10.21873/anticanres.12656.

Abstract

Background/aim: Patients with cerebral metastases from gynecological cancer who receive whole-brain irradiation (WBI) alone require personalized therapy. This study contributes to personalized care by creating an instrument to predict 6-month survival probability.

Patients and methods: In 49 patients, six pre-treatment variables, namely age, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance score (ECOG-PS), primary tumor type, number of cerebral metastases, metastasis outside the brain, and interval between diagnosis of gynecological cancer and WBI, were analyzed for survival.

Results: Of the six pre-treatment variables, ECOG-PS was significantly associated with survival (p=0.014) and metastasis outside the brain showed a trend for association (p=0.096). Six-month survival rates divided by 10 resulted in scores of 0, 2 or 7 points for ECOG-PS and of 2 or 7 points for metastasis outside the brain. Scores for individual patients were 2, 4, 7, 9 or 14 points. Three groups were created, those with 2-7, 9 and 14 points, with 6-month survival rates of 10%, 53% and 100%, respectively (p=0.004).

Conclusion: An instrument was designed to predict the 6-month survival of patients receiving WBI for cerebral metastases from gynecological cancer and facilitate personalized care.

Keywords: 6-month survival probability; Whole-brain irradiation; brain metastases; gynecological cancer; prognostic instrument.

MeSH terms

  • Brain Neoplasms / mortality
  • Brain Neoplasms / radiotherapy*
  • Brain Neoplasms / secondary*
  • Cranial Irradiation / methods*
  • Dose Fractionation, Radiation
  • Female
  • Genital Neoplasms, Female / pathology*
  • Humans
  • Kaplan-Meier Estimate
  • Middle Aged
  • Outcome Assessment, Health Care / methods*
  • Probability
  • Survival Rate