Background: Surgical decision making remains difficult in several patients with aneurysmal disease of the descending thoracic (DT) or thoracoabdominal (TA) aorta. Despite previous studies that have investigated aneurysms treated non-operatively using a prospective growth analysis, completeness and accuracy of follow-up were inconsistent. We aim to describe the survival and freedom from adverse aortic events in patients with DT and TA who did not undergo operative repair.
Methods: This is a single-center retrospective analysis of all patients with either a descending degenerative atherosclerotic or dissection-related DT or TA aortic lesion who were treated non-operatively from April 2002 to December 2016. We studied patients who did not undergo operative repair of descending degenerative atherosclerotic or dissection-related DT or TA aortic lesion. Primary end points were overall survival and freedom from aortic-related mortality (ARM).
Results: Of the 315 patients diagnosed with DT or TA disease, 56 (18%) did not undergo surgical repair. Mean aneurysm diameter was 65 mm ± 15 (range 50-120; IQR 5.4-7.15). Extent of the aortic aneurysms was DT in 36 (11%) patients and TA in 20 (6%). Median duration of follow-up was 12 months (range 1-108; IQR 3-36). Over the course of the study, 41 (73%) patients died for an overall survival rate of 53% ± 7 at 1 year (95% CI 40-65) and 23% ± 7 at 3 year (95% CI 17-42.5). Aortic-related mortality was 27% (n = 15), significantly higher in patients with aneurysms ≥ 60 mm [n = 13, (39%) vs. n = 2, (9%); P = 0.025; OR = 5.04]. Overall, estimated freedom from ARM was 81% ± 5.5 at 1 year (95% CI 68-89) and 66.5% ± 9 at 3 year (95% CI 48-81). Only TA extent was independently associated with freedom from ARM during the follow-up (P = 0.005; HR: 5.74; 95% CI 1.711-19.729).
Conclusions: Thoracoabdominal extent of the aneurysmal aortic disease is the most important predictor of ARM in unrepaired DT or TA aortic diseases. Mortality from aortic-related events was significantly more premature than mortality from non-aortic-related mortality.