Modifiable Failures in the Colorectal Cancer Screening Process and Their Association With Risk of Death

Gastroenterology. 2019 Jan;156(1):63-74.e6. doi: 10.1053/j.gastro.2018.09.040. Epub 2018 Sep 27.

Abstract

Background & aims: Colorectal cancer (CRC) deaths occur when patients do not receive screening or have inadequate follow-up of abnormal results or when the screening test fails. We have few data on the contribution of each to CRC-associated deaths or factors associated with these events.

Methods: We performed a retrospective cohort study of patients in the Kaiser Permanente Northern and Southern California systems (55-90 years old) who died of CRC from 2006 through 2012 and had ≥5 years of enrollment before diagnosis. We compared data from patients with those from a matched cohort of cancer-free patients in the same system. Receipt, results, indications, and follow-up of CRC tests in the 10-year period before diagnosis were obtained from electronic databases and chart audits.

Results: Of 1750 CRC deaths, 75.9% (n = 1328) occurred in patients who were not up to date in screening and 24.1% (n = 422) occurred in patients who were up to date. Failure to screen was associated with fewer visits to primary care physicians. Of 3486 cancer-free patients, 44.6% were up to date in their screening. Patients who were up to date in their screening had a lower risk of CRC death (odds ratio, 0.38; 95% confidence interval, 0.33-0.44). Failure to screen, or failure to screen at appropriate intervals, occurred in a 67.8% of patients who died of CRC vs 53.2% of cancer-free patients; failure to follow-up on abnormal results occurred in 8.1% of patients who died of CRC vs 2.2% of cancer-free patients. CRC death was associated with higher odds of failure to screen or failure to screen at appropriate intervals (odds ratio, 2.40; 95% confidence interval, 2.07-2.77) and failure to follow-up on abnormal results (odds ratio, 7.26; 95% confidence interval, 5.26-10.03).

Conclusions: Being up to date on screening substantially decreases the risk of CRC death. In 2 health care systems with high rates of screening, most people who died of CRC had failures in the screening process that could be rectified, such as failure to follow-up on abnormal findings; these significantly increased the risk for CRC death.

Keywords: Adenoma; Cancer Prevention; Colon Cancer; Early Detection.

Publication types

  • Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural

MeSH terms

  • Adenocarcinoma / diagnosis*
  • Adenocarcinoma / mortality*
  • Adenocarcinoma / prevention & control
  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • California / epidemiology
  • Cause of Death
  • Colorectal Neoplasms / diagnosis*
  • Colorectal Neoplasms / mortality*
  • Colorectal Neoplasms / prevention & control
  • Early Detection of Cancer / adverse effects
  • Early Detection of Cancer / mortality*
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Patient Acceptance of Health Care
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • Protective Factors
  • Reproducibility of Results
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Risk Factors
  • Time Factors