Incidence and risk factors for abdominal occult metastatic disease in patients with pancreatic adenocarcinoma

J Surg Oncol. 2018 Dec;118(8):1277-1284. doi: 10.1002/jso.25288. Epub 2018 Oct 31.

Abstract

Background: The incidence of occult metastatic disease (OMD) in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) and associated risk factors are largely unknown.

Methods: We identified all patients with PDAC, who had an aborted oncologic operation due to OMD within a 10-year period. The cases were matched to a cohort of resected PDAC patients on a 1:3 ratio, based on age and sex, for comparison of preoperative clinical characteristics and potential risk factors for OMD.

Results: In the studied period, 117 patients with OMD were identified in 1423 pancreatectomies performed for PDAC (8%). Liver metastases were the most common finding (79%) followed by peritoneal implants (16%). When compared with non-OMD cases, patients with OMD presented more often with abdominal pain (P < 0.001), and higher preoperative carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA 19-9) values ( P = 0.007). Additionally, indeterminate liver lesions on preoperative computed tomography (CT) were identified in 40% of OMD versus 17% of non-OMD patients ( P < 0.001). Multivariable analysis distinguished four independent predictors for OMD: indeterminate lesions on preoperative CT, tumor size > 30 mm, abdominal pain, and preoperative CA 19-9 > 192 U/mL.

Conclusions: Occurrence of OMD in PDAC accounts for 8% of cases. Preoperative CA 19-9 > 192 U/mL, primary tumor size > 30 mm, and identification of indeterminate lesions in preoperative CT may indicate the need for diagnostic laparoscopy.

Keywords: diagnostic laparoscopy; indeterminate lesions; metastases; occult; pancreatic cancer.

MeSH terms

  • Abdominal Neoplasms / epidemiology
  • Abdominal Neoplasms / secondary*
  • Aged
  • Carcinoma, Pancreatic Ductal / epidemiology
  • Carcinoma, Pancreatic Ductal / pathology*
  • Carcinoma, Pancreatic Ductal / surgery
  • Cohort Studies
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Incidence
  • Liver Neoplasms / epidemiology
  • Liver Neoplasms / secondary
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Pancreatic Neoplasms / epidemiology
  • Pancreatic Neoplasms / pathology*
  • Pancreatic Neoplasms / surgery
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Risk Factors
  • United States / epidemiology