Rate of change in body mass index at different ages during childhood and adult obesity risk

Pediatr Obes. 2019 Jul;14(7):e12513. doi: 10.1111/ijpo.12513. Epub 2019 Jan 31.

Abstract

Background: Childhood body mass index (BMI) predicts adult obesity. How growth trajectories during childhood relate to adult obesity risk is not well defined.

Objective: We aimed to characterize BMI growth trajectories from childhood to midlife and to examine the associations between BMI growth rates at childhood age points and adult obesity risk.

Methods: The longitudinal study included 2732 participants with repeated BMI measurements from childhood (4-19 y) to adulthood (20-51 y). A random-effects model was used to construct BMI growth curves by race and sex. Model-estimated levels and linear growth rates of BMI were linked to adult obesity in separate multivariable logistic regression models at individual childhood age points.

Results: BMI followed cubic growth curves. Childhood BMI linear slope estimates were higher in adults with obesity than in adults without obesity (P < 0.001). The association between childhood BMI growth rate and adult obesity was significantly higher in puberty and postpuberty (12-19 y) than in early childhood (4-11 y) with a peak at age 14 (odds ratio = 3.1 and 95% confidence interval, 2.7-3.5).

Conclusions: Rates of change in BMI at different childhood ages are differentially associated with adult obesity. Puberty and postpuberty are crucial periods for the development of obesity in later life.

Keywords: body mass index; growth curve; life course epidemiology; obesity.

Publication types

  • Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural
  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Adolescent
  • Adult
  • Age Factors
  • Body Mass Index*
  • Child
  • Child, Preschool
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Logistic Models
  • Longitudinal Studies
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Obesity / etiology*
  • Risk
  • Sexual Maturation
  • Young Adult