Objective: To examine the effectiveness of single and repeat sonographic cervical-length (CL) measurement in predicting preterm delivery in symptomatic women with a twin pregnancy.
Methods: This was a retrospective study of women with a twin gestation who presented with painful and regular uterine contractions at 24 + 0 to 33 + 6 weeks' gestation at the perinatal unit of the University Hospital of Tübingen, Tübingen, Germany between 2012 and 2018. CL was measured on transvaginal ultrasound at the time of admission and a few days later after cessation of contractions. Treatment included administration of tocolytics (usually oral nifedipine), for no more than 48 h, and administration of steroids if CL was ≤ 25 mm. Patients were clustered into five groups according to the CL measurement obtained at first assessment: < 10.0 mm; between 10.0 and 14.9 mm; between 15.0 and 19.9 mm; between 20.0 and 24.9 mm; and ≥ 25.0 mm. For each group, we calculated the test performance of CL measurement for prediction of preterm delivery within the subsequent 7 days and before 34 weeks' gestation. Regression analysis was used to evaluate the test performance of the second CL measurement for predicting preterm delivery within 7 days after the second assessment.
Results: The study population consisted of 257 twin pregnancies, of which 80.2% were dichorionic diamniotic. Median maternal and gestational ages at the time of admission were 32.0 years and 29.9 weeks' gestation, respectively. Preterm birth within 7 days of admission occurred in 23 (8.9%) pregnancies, and 82 (31.9%) patients delivered prior to 34 weeks' gestation. Median CL for the entire study population was 17.0 mm. Delivery within 7 days after the first assessment occurred in 29.0%, 10.6%, 4.2%, 6.3% and 0% of women with CL < 10.0 mm, 10.0-14.9 mm, 15.0-19.9 mm, 20.0-24.9 mm and ≥ 25.0 mm, respectively. There was a weak, but significant, association between the CL measurement at the time of admission and the time interval between admission and delivery (interval = 27.9 + 0.58 × CL; P = 0.003, r = 0.184). CL was measured again after a median time interval of 3 (interquartile range (IQR), 2-5) days in 248 cases. Median second CL measurement was 17.0 (IQR, 11.5-22.0) mm. Delivery occurred within the subsequent 7 days after the second measurement in 25/248 (10.1%) cases. Binary regression analysis indicated that the first (odds ratio (OR), 0.895; P = 0.003) and second (OR, 0.908; P = 0.002) CL measurements, but not the difference between the two measurements (OR, 0.961; P = 0.361), were associated significantly with delivery within 7 days after the second measurement. Receiver-operating-characteristics (ROC)-curve analysis for the prediction of delivery within 7 days after the second assessment did not show a significant difference between the predictive performance of the first (area under ROC curve (AUC), 0.676 (95% CI, 0.559-0.793)) and the second (AUC, 0.661 (95% CI, 0.531-0.790)) measurement.
Conclusion: Sonographic measurement of CL can be helpful in predicting preterm delivery within 7 days of presentation in symptomatic women with a twin gestation; however, the test performance is relatively weak. Copyright © 2019 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
Keywords: cervical length; preterm delivery; threatened preterm labor; twins.
Copyright © 2019 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.