Walking Speed Drives the Prognosis of Older Adults with Cardiovascular and Neuropsychiatric Multimorbidity

Am J Med. 2019 Oct;132(10):1207-1215.e6. doi: 10.1016/j.amjmed.2019.05.005. Epub 2019 May 27.

Abstract

Background: We investigated the impact of multiple cardiovascular and neuropsychiatric diseases on all-cause and cause-specific mortality in older adults, considering their functional status.

Methods: This cohort study included 3241 participants (aged ≥60 years) in the Swedish National study of Aging and Care in Kungsholmen (SNAC-K). Number of cardiovascular and neuropsychiatric diseases was categorized as 0, 1, or ≥2. Functional impairment was defined as walking speed of <0.8m/s. Death certificates provided information on 3- and 5-year mortality. Hazard ratios (HR) were derived from Cox models (all-cause mortality) and Fine-Gray competing risk models (cardiovascular and non-cardiovascular mortality).

Results: After 3 years, compared with participants with preserved walking speed and without either cardiovascular or neuropsychiatric diseases, the multivariable-adjusted HR (95% confidence interval) of all-cause mortality for people with functional impairment in combination with 0, 1, and ≥2 cardiovascular diseases were 1.88 (1.29-2.74), 3.85 (2.60-5.70), and 5.18 (3.45-7.78), respectively. The corresponding figures for people with 0, 1, and ≥2 neuropsychiatric diseases were, respectively, 2.88 (2.03-4.08), 3.36 (2.31-4.89), and 3.68 (2.43-5.59). Among people with ≥2 cardiovascular or ≥2 neuropsychiatric diseases, those with functional impairment had an excess risk for 3-year all-cause mortality of 18/100 person-years and 17/100 person-years, respectively, than those without functional impairment. At 5 years, the association between the number of cardiovascular diseases and mortality resulted independent of functional impairment.

Conclusions: Functional impairment magnifies the effect of cardiovascular and neuropsychiatric multimorbidity on mortality among older adults. Walking speed appears to be a simple clinical marker for the prognosis of these two patterns of multimorbidity.

Keywords: Chronic disease; Frailty; Functional decline; Multimorbidity; Personalized medicine; Population-based study; Walking speed.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Cardiovascular Diseases / complications*
  • Cardiovascular Diseases / epidemiology
  • Cardiovascular Diseases / physiopathology
  • Cohort Studies
  • Female
  • Geriatric Assessment / methods*
  • Humans
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Multimorbidity*
  • Neuropsychology / methods
  • Neuropsychology / statistics & numerical data
  • Prognosis*
  • Risk Factors
  • Walking Speed / physiology*