The association of recurrence and bleeding events with mortality after venous thromboembolism: From the COMMAND VTE Registry

Abstract

Background: The duration of anticoagulation therapy after venous thromboembolism (VTE) should be based on the balance between risks of recurrent VTE and bleeding. However, there is uncertainty about the impact of these events on subsequent mortality.

Methods: We evaluated the association of recurrent VTE and major bleeding events with mortality among 3026 patients in the COMMAND VTE Registry. We estimated the risks of the recurrent VTE events and the major bleeding events for subsequent mortality by the time-updated multivariable Cox proportional hazard model.

Results: During the median follow-up period of 1218 days, 225 patients developed recurrent VTE events, 274 patients developed major bleeding events, and 763 patients died. The multivariable Cox proportional hazard model revealed that both the recurrent VTE and major bleeding events were strongly associated with subsequent mortality risk (recurrent VTE: HR 3.24, 95%CI 2.57-4.08, P < 0.001; major bleeding: HR 3.53, 95%CI 2.88-4.31, P < 0.001). Both the recurrent pulmonary embolism (PE) and recurrent deep vein thrombosis (DVT) events were associated with subsequent mortality risk (recurrent PE events: HR 4.42, 95%CI 3.28-5.95, P < 0.001; recurrent DVT events: HR 2.42, 95%CI 1.75-3.36, P < 0.001).

Conclusions: In the real-world patients with VTE, both the recurrent VTE events and the major bleeding events were strongly associated with subsequent mortality risk with the comparable effect size. The recurrent PE and recurrent DVT events were also associated with increased risks for mortality, although the magnitude of the effect on mortality was numerically greater with the recurrent PE events than with the recurrent DVT events.

Keywords: Bleeding; Mortality; Recurrence; Venous thromboembolism.