Background: Studies have demonstrated that multimodality therapy and surgery at high volume centers are associated with a longer survival. However, it is unknown if these data have translated into national changes in care delivery.
Methods: Patients with stages I-III pancreatic adenocarcinomas who underwent resections between 2004 and 2010 were identified from the National Cancer Data Base. The primary outcome was a 3-year overall survival. Temporal trends in survival outcomes and treatment variables were measured. A mediation analysis using the Lin method was used to discern the relative contribution of changes in treatment variables towards improvements in survival over time.
Results: A total of 22,196 patients were identified. Between 2004 and 2010, a 90-day peri-operative mortality remained unchanged (8.5 % to 8.4 %, p = 0.488), 3-year overall survival improved from 26 to 30% (p < 0.001), use of adjuvant/neoadjuvant chemotherapy increased (51 % to 61 %, p < 0.001), and more cases shifted to high volume centers (46 % at institutions performing > 10 cases/year in 2004 vs. 65 % in 2010, p < 0.001). On multivariable analysis, 32 % of the improvement in survival over time was attributable to receipt of chemotherapy, while 12 % was due to the shift of patients towards high volume centers (p < 0.001).
Conclusions: Over the period from 2004 to 2010, a 3-year survival increased for patients undergoing resection for pancreatic cancer. This survival improvement can be partially attributed to the increasing utilization of chemotherapy and centralization of surgical care at high volume centers. A continued emphasis on these factors will likely result in further prolongation of a survival following resection.
Keywords: Centralization; Pancreatic cancer trends; Survival.