Association of diabetes and kidney function according to age and systolic function with the incidence of sudden cardiac death and non-sudden cardiac death in myocardial infarction survivors with heart failure

Eur J Heart Fail. 2019 Oct;21(10):1248-1258. doi: 10.1002/ejhf.1541. Epub 2019 Sep 2.

Abstract

Aims: An implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) is recommended for reducing the risk of sudden cardiac death (SCD) in myocardial infarction (MI) patients with a left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) ≤ 30%, as well as patients with a LVEF ≤ 35% and heart failure symptoms. Diabetes and/or impaired kidney function may confer additional SCD risk. We assessed the association between these two risk factors with SCD and non-SCD among MI survivors taking account of age and LVEF.

Methods and results: A total of 17 773 patients from the High-Risk MI Database were evaluated. Overall, diabetes and estimated glomerular filtration rate < 60 mL/min/1.73 m2 , individually and together, conferred a higher risk of SCD [adjusted competing risk: hazard ratio (HR) 1.23, 1.23, and 1.32, respectively; all P < 0.03] and non-SCD (HR 1.34, 1.52, and 2.13, respectively; all P < 0.0001). Annual SCD rates in patients with LVEF > 35% and with diabetes, impaired kidney function, or both (2.0%, 2.5% and 2.7%, respectively) were comparable to rates observed in patients with LVEF 30-35% but no such risk factors (1.7%). However, these patients had also similarly higher non-SCD rates, such that the ratio of SCD to non-SCD was not increased. Importantly, this ratio was mostly dependent on age, with higher overall ratios in youngest subgroups (0.89 in patients < 55 years vs. 0.38 in patients ≥ 75 years), regardless of risk factors.

Conclusion: Although MI survivors with LVEF > 35% with diabetes, impaired kidney function, or both are at increased risk of SCD, the risk of non-SCD risk is even higher, suggesting an extension of the current indication for an ICD to them is unlikely to be worthwhile. MI survivors with low LVEF and aged < 55 years are likely to have the greatest potential benefit from ICD implantation.

Keywords: Diabetes; Impaired kidney function; Left ventricular dysfunction; Myocardial infarction; Sudden cardiac death.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Age Factors
  • Aged
  • Death, Sudden, Cardiac / epidemiology*
  • Diabetes Complications / mortality*
  • Female
  • Heart Failure / mortality*
  • Humans
  • Incidence
  • Kidney Function Tests
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Myocardial Infarction / complications*
  • Risk Assessment
  • Risk Factors
  • Survivors
  • Systole