STABLE-2007 Demonstrates Predictive and Incremental Validity in Assessing Risk-Relevant Propensities for Sexual Offending: A Meta-Analysis

Sex Abuse. 2021 Feb;33(1):34-62. doi: 10.1177/1079063219871572. Epub 2019 Sep 13.

Abstract

STABLE-2007 is a measure of risk-relevant propensities for adult males convicted of a sexual offense. This meta-analysis evaluated the ability of STABLE-2007 and its items to discriminate between recidivists and nonrecidivists, and the extent to which STABLE-2007 improves prediction over and above Static-99R. Based on 21 studies (12 unique samples, N = 6,955), we found that STABLE-2007 was significantly and incrementally related to sexual recidivism, violent (nonsexual) recidivism, violent (including sexual) recidivism, and any crime. Scores on STABLE-2007 items and the three STABLE-2000 attitude items also discriminated between individuals who sexually reoffended and those who did not sexually reoffend. These findings support the use of STABLE-2007 in applied risk assessment practice and the interpretation of STABLE-2007 items as indicators of treatment and supervision targets.

Keywords: STABLE-2007; Static-99R; dynamic risk factors; meta-analysis; risk assessment; sexual offender.

Publication types

  • Meta-Analysis

MeSH terms

  • Humans
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • Recidivism / statistics & numerical data*
  • Reproducibility of Results
  • Risk Assessment / standards
  • Sex Offenses / statistics & numerical data*
  • Surveys and Questionnaires / standards*