Purpose: To identify the multivariate logistic regression in a combination (combination method) involving artificial intelligence (AI) classifiers in images of blastocysts along with a conventional embryo evaluation (CEE) to predict the probability of accomplishing a live birth in patients classified by maternal age.
Methods: Retrospectively, a total of 5691 blastocysts were enrolled. Images captured 115 hours or 139 hours if not yet sufficiently large after insemination were classified according to age as follows: <35, 35-37, 38-39, 40-41, and ≥42 years old. The classifiers for each category were created by using convolutional neural networks associated with deep learning. Next, the feasibility of a method combining AI with multivariate logistic model functions by CEE was investigated.
Results: The values of the area under the curve (AUC) and the accuracies to predict live birth achieved by the CEE/AI/combination methods were 0.651/0.634/0.655, 0.697/0.688/0.723, 0.771/0.728/0.791, 0.788/0.743/0.806 and 0.820/0.837/0.888, and 0.631/0.647/0.616, 0.687/0.675/0.671, 0.725/0.697/0.732, 0.714/0.776/0.801, and 0.910/0.866/0.784 for age categories of <35, 35-37, 38-39, 40-41, and ≥42 years old, respectively.
Conclusions: Though there were mostly no significant differences regarding the AUC and the sensitivity plus specificity in all age categories, the combination method seemed to be the best.
Keywords: artificial intelligence; blastocyst; deep learning; live birth; neural network.
© 2019 The Authors. Reproductive Medicine and Biology published by John Wiley & Sons Australia, Ltd on behalf of Japan Society for Reproductive Medicine.