Effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of a Clostridium difficile vaccine candidate in a hospital setting

Abstract

Toxoid vaccines against Clostridium difficile infections (CDI) appear promising in reducing the risk of developing toxin-mediated symptoms. We sought to evaluate the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of a vaccine candidate in a hospital setting. We developed an agent-based simulation model of nosocomial CDI in a 300-bed hospital. Targeting high-risk patients for vaccination, we estimated the reduction of symptomatic CDI. Using the net reduction of CDI-associated isolation days, we evaluated the vaccine's cost-effectiveness from a healthcare provider perspective over a 2-year period with an average monthly incidence of 5 cases per 10,000 patient-days pre-vaccination. Assuming a vaccine efficacy in the range 60-90%, vaccinating 40% of high-risk patients pre-admission reduced symptomatic CDI by 16.6% (95% CI: 15.2, 17.9). When the vaccine coverage increased to 80%, the reduction of symptomatic CDI was 34.6% (95% CI: 33.7, 35.9). For a willingness to pay (WTP) of CDN$1000 (corresponding to the average costs of case isolation per day), vaccine was cost-effective for vaccination costs per individual (VCPI) up to CDN$111 in the scenario of 40% vaccine coverage. With the same WTP, vaccine was cost-effective for VCPI up to CDN$121 when the vaccine coverage increased to 80%. A significant portion (~80%) of hospital colonization is caused by environmental transmission of C. difficile, which markedly reduced the effectiveness of vaccine below its assumed efficacy. However, due to the number of CDI-associated isolation days averted, vaccination of high-risk patients can be cost-effective depending on the WTP and the VCPI.

Keywords: Agent-based simulations; C. difficile; Cost-effectiveness; Hospital epidemiology; Toxoid vaccine.