Some Brazilian beaches are impacted by raw or poorly treated sewage. Thus, users (beachgoers, sports people, and children) are exposed to pathogens, which pose health concerns. This study aimed to estimate the probability of infection and disease by Giardia and Cryptosporidium, using the quantitative microbial risk assessment (QMRA), for three groups of bathers: children, adults, and open water swimmers. The concentrations of (oo)cysts were taken from a study run by CETESB (Environmental Company of Sao Paulo State) throughout 2011 and 2012, in which 203 samples were collected monthly and analyzed for (oo)cysts of Giardia and Cryptosporidium. Giardia was present in 43% of the samples, while Cryptosporidium in 13%. Infection probability was higher in beaches with more positive samples for Giardia cysts for the group of open water swimmers. In some cases, the highest annual risk obtained for giardiasis and cryptosporidiosis was 2.4 × 10-1 and 8.9 × 10-3 for open water swimmers, respectively, exceeding the incidence results found in the epidemiological study run in summer of 1999 in São Paulo state coast. The results bring insights to improve environmental quality in order to protect tourists' and residents' wellbeing.
Keywords: Cryptosporidium; Giardia; Infection and disease risk assessment; Marine recreational waters; Quantitative microbial risk assessment.