The cardiovascular disease burden of non-traumatic fractures for adults with and without cerebral palsy

Abstract

Background: Individuals with cerebral palsy (CP) are vulnerable to non-trauma fracture (NTFx) and have an elevated burden of cardiovascular disease (CVD) related morbidity and mortality. However, very little is known about the contribution of NTFx to CVD risk among adults with CP. The purpose of this study was to determine if NTFx is a risk factor for CVD among adults with CP and if NTFx exacerbates CVD risk compared to adults without CP.

Methods: Data from 2011 to 2016 Optum Clinformatics® Data Mart and a random 20% sample Medicare fee-for-service were used for this retrospective cohort study. Diagnosis codes were used to identify adults (18+ years) with and without CP, NTFx, incident CVD up to 2 years (i.e., ischemic heart disease, heart failure, cerebrovascular disease), and pre-NTFx comorbidities. Crude incidence rates per 100 person years of CVD measures were estimated. Cox regression estimated hazard ratios (HR and 95% confidence interval [CI]) for CVD measures, comparing: (1) CP and NTFx (CP + NTFx; n = 1012); (2) CP without NTFx (CP w/o NTFx; n = 8345); (3) without CP and with NTFx (w/o CP + NTFx; n = 257,355); and (4) without CP and without NTFx (w/o CP w/o NTFx; n = 4.8 M) after adjusting for demographics and pre-NTFx comorbidities.

Results: The crude incidence rate was elevated for CP + NTFx vs. CP w/o NTFx and w/o CP + NTFx for any CVD and for each CVD subtype. After adjustments, the HR was elevated for CP + NTFx vs. CP w/o NTFx for any CVD (HR = 1.16; 95%CI = 0.98-1.38), heart failure (HR = 1.31; 95%CI = 1.01-1.70), and cerebrovascular disease (HR = 1.23; 95%CI = 0.98-1.55); although, only heart failure was statistically significant. The adjusted HR was elevated for CP + NTFx vs. w/o CP + NTFx for any CVD and for each CVD subtype (all P < .05). Stratified analyses showed a higher CVD risk by NTFx location, <65 year olds, and men when comparing CP + NTFx vs. CP w/o NTFx and w/o CP + NTFx.

Conclusions: NTFx increases 2-year CVD risk among adults with CP and compared to adults without CP. Findings suggest that NTFx is a risk factor for CVD among adults with CP.

Keywords: Cardiovascular disease; Cerebral palsy; Cerebrovascular disease; Fracture; Heart failure; Ischemic heart disease.