Prediction of hypertension, hyperglycemia and dyslipidemia from retinal fundus photographs via deep learning: A cross-sectional study of chronic diseases in central China

PLoS One. 2020 May 14;15(5):e0233166. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0233166. eCollection 2020.

Abstract

Retinal fundus photography provides a non-invasive approach for identifying early microcirculatory alterations of chronic diseases prior to the onset of overt clinical complications. Here, we developed neural network models to predict hypertension, hyperglycemia, dyslipidemia, and a range of risk factors from retinal fundus images obtained from a cross-sectional study of chronic diseases in rural areas of Xinxiang County, Henan, in central China. 1222 high-quality retinal images and over 50 measurements of anthropometry and biochemical parameters were generated from 625 subjects. The models in this study achieved an area under the ROC curve (AUC) of 0.880 in predicting hyperglycemia, of 0.766 in predicting hypertension, and of 0.703 in predicting dyslipidemia. In addition, these models can predict with AUC>0.7 several blood test erythrocyte parameters, including hematocrit (HCT), mean corpuscular hemoglobin concentration (MCHC), and a cluster of cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factors. Taken together, deep learning approaches are feasible for predicting hypertension, dyslipidemia, diabetes, and risks of other chronic diseases.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • China
  • Chronic Disease
  • Cross-Sectional Studies
  • Deep Learning*
  • Dyslipidemias / diagnosis*
  • Dyslipidemias / diagnostic imaging
  • Female
  • Fundus Oculi*
  • Humans
  • Hyperglycemia / diagnosis*
  • Hyperglycemia / diagnostic imaging
  • Hypertension / diagnosis*
  • Hypertension / diagnostic imaging
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Models, Biological
  • ROC Curve
  • Retina / diagnostic imaging*
  • Risk Factors
  • Young Adult

Grants and funding

This research was supported by the National Key Program of Research and Development of China (2016YFC0900803; 2017YFD0400301) and National Natural Science Foundation of China (U1604178; U1904158). The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.