Cocooning is essential to relaxing social distancing

medRxiv. 2020 May 8;2020.05.03.20089920. doi: 10.1101/2020.05.03.20089920. Preprint


As the first wave of COVID-19 recedes, policymakers are contemplating the relaxation of shelter-in-place orders. Using a model capturing high-risk populations and transmission rates estimated from hospitalization data, we find that postponing relaxation will only delay a second wave and cocooning vulnerable populations is needed to prevent overwhelming medical surges.

Publication types

  • Preprint