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[Preprint]. 2020 May 21:2020.05.18.20105494.
doi: 10.1101/2020.05.18.20105494.

Risk of Ischemic Stroke in Patients with Covid-19 versus Patients with Influenza

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Risk of Ischemic Stroke in Patients with Covid-19 versus Patients with Influenza

Alexander E Merkler et al. medRxiv. .

Update in

Abstract

Importance: Case series without control groups suggest that Covid-19 may cause ischemic stroke, but whether Covid-19 is associated with a higher risk of ischemic stroke than would be expected from a viral respiratory infection is uncertain.

Objective: To compare the rate of ischemic stroke between patients with Covid-19 and patients with influenza, a respiratory viral illness previously linked to stroke.

Design: A retrospective cohort study.

Setting: Two academic hospitals in New York City.

Participants: We included adult patients with emergency department visits or hospitalizations with Covid-19 from March 4, 2020 through May 2, 2020. Our comparison cohort included adult patients with emergency department visits or hospitalizations with influenza A or B from January 1, 2016 through May 31, 2018 (calendar years spanning moderate and severe influenza seasons). Exposures: Covid-19 infection confirmed by evidence of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) in the nasopharynx by polymerase chain reaction, and laboratory-confirmed influenza A or B. Main Outcomes and Measures: A panel of neurologists adjudicated the primary outcome of acute ischemic stroke and its clinical characteristics, etiological mechanisms, and outcomes. We used logistic regression to compare the proportion of Covid-19 patients with ischemic stroke versus the proportion among patients with influenza.

Results: Among 2,132 patients with emergency department visits or hospitalizations with Covid-19, 31 patients (1.5%; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.0%-2.1%) had an acute ischemic stroke. The median age of patients with stroke was 69 years (interquartile range, 66-78) and 58% were men. Stroke was the reason for hospital presentation in 8 (26%) cases. For our comparison cohort, we identified 1,516 patients with influenza, of whom 0.2% (95% CI, 0.0-0.6%) had an acute ischemic stroke. After adjustment for age, sex, and race, the likelihood of stroke was significantly higher with Covid-19 than with influenza infection (odds ratio, 7.5; 95% CI, 2.3-24.9).

Conclusions and relevance: Approximately 1.5% of patients with emergency department visits or hospitalizations with Covid-19 experienced ischemic stroke, a rate 7.5-fold higher than in patients with influenza. Future studies should investigate the thrombotic mechanisms in Covid-19 in order to determine optimal strategies to prevent disabling complications like ischemic stroke.

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Figures

Figure 1
Figure 1. Timeline in days from Covid-19 symptom onset to acute ischemic stroke diagnosis.
Horizontal lines represent individual patients with a hospitalization or emergency department visit for Covid-19 infection who had acute ischemic stroke. A gray square indicates the day of hospitalization, a red “X” indicates the day of intensive care unit admission, if applicable, and a gray circle indicates the day of acute ischemic stroke diagnosis. For patients who did not have preceding typical Covid-19 symptoms, the day of their stroke was considered the day of Covid-19 symptom onset. For patients with typical symptoms of Covid-19 but without clear onset date, the date of hospital presentation was considered the day of onset.

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