Diabetes as a risk factor for greater COVID-19 severity and in-hospital death: A meta-analysis of observational studies

Nutr Metab Cardiovasc Dis. 2020 Jul 24;30(8):1236-1248. doi: 10.1016/j.numecd.2020.05.014. Epub 2020 May 29.

Abstract

Aims: To estimate the prevalence of established diabetes and its association with the clinical severity and in-hospital mortality associated with COVID-19.

Data synthesis: We systematically searched PubMed, Scopus and Web of Science, from 1st January 2020 to 15th May 2020, for observational studies of patients admitted to hospital with COVID-19. Meta-analysis was performed using random-effects modeling. A total of 83 eligible studies with 78,874 hospitalized patients with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 were included. The pooled prevalence of established diabetes was 14.34% (95% CI 12.62-16.06%). However, the prevalence of diabetes was higher in non-Asian vs. Asian countries (23.34% [95% CI 16.40-30.28] vs. 11.06% [95% CI 9.73-12.39]), and in patients aged ≥60 years vs. those aged <60 years (23.30% [95% CI 19.65-26.94] vs. 8.79% [95% CI 7.56-10.02]). Pre-existing diabetes was associated with an approximate twofold higher risk of having severe/critical COVID-19 illness (n = 22 studies; random-effects odds ratio 2.10, 95% CI 1.71-2.57; I2 = 41.5%) and ~threefold increased risk of in-hospital mortality (n = 15 studies; random-effects odds ratio 2.68, 95% CI 2.09-3.44; I2 = 46.7%). Funnel plots and Egger's tests did not reveal any significant publication bias.

Conclusions: Pre-existing diabetes is significantly associated with greater risk of severe/critical illness and in-hospital mortality in patients admitted to hospital with COVID-19.

Keywords: COVID-19; Coronavirus disease 2019; Diabetes; Meta-analysis; SARS-CoV-2.

Publication types

  • Meta-Analysis
  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Betacoronavirus*
  • COVID-19
  • Coronavirus Infections / epidemiology
  • Coronavirus Infections / mortality*
  • Diabetes Complications / mortality*
  • Female
  • Hospital Mortality*
  • Humans
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Observational Studies as Topic
  • Pandemics
  • Pneumonia, Viral / epidemiology
  • Pneumonia, Viral / mortality*
  • SARS-CoV-2
  • Severity of Illness Index