Cardiovascular risk and validation of cardiovascular risk prediction functions in a cohort of patients with type 2 diabetes followed for 10 years in Badajoz (SPAIN). AN observational study

Prim Care Diabetes. 2021 Feb;15(1):115-120. doi: 10.1016/j.pcd.2020.07.014. Epub 2020 Aug 15.

Abstract

Aims: To analyse whether diabetes behaves as an equivalent of coronary risk and assess the performance of the original and REGICOR Framingham functions in a cohort of patients with type 2 diabetes observed for 10 years in primary care practices in Badajoz, Spain.

Methods: Observational, longitudinal study. A total of 643 patients (mean age 64.0 years, 55.7% women), without evidence of cardiovascular disease were studied. We assessed the incidence of cardiovascular events and the patients' 10-year coronary risk predicted-values at the time of their recruitment.

Result: The actual incidence rate of coronary events was 14.5% (15.1% in women and 13.7% in men, p = 0.616). Patients who suffered coronary events were older (66.3 vs 63.6 years, p < 0.05), had higher total cholesterol (236.3 vs 219.5 mg/dl, p < 0.01), fasting plasma glucose levels (177.6 vs 159.8 mg/dl, p < 0.01), glycated haemoglobin (7.3 vs 6.7%, p < 0.05) and also higher prevalence of high blood pressure, dyslipidemia and chronic renal disease. The original Framingham equation overpredicted risk by 88%, whereas the REGICOR Framingham function underpredicted risk by 24%.

Conclusions: Diabetes in our cohort does not behave as a coronary heart disease equivalent and both the original and REGICOR Framingham coronary risk functions have little utility in a diabetic population.

Keywords: Cardiovascular risk functions; Coronary disease; Diabetes; Framingham function; Primary health care; REGICOR risk chart.

Publication types

  • Observational Study
  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Cardiovascular Diseases* / diagnosis
  • Cardiovascular Diseases* / epidemiology
  • Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2* / diagnosis
  • Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2* / epidemiology
  • Female
  • Heart Disease Risk Factors
  • Humans
  • Longitudinal Studies
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Risk Assessment
  • Risk Factors
  • Spain / epidemiology