Predictors of COVID-19 severity: A literature review

Rev Med Virol. 2021 Jan;31(1):1-10. doi: 10.1002/rmv.2146. Epub 2020 Jul 30.

Abstract

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic is a rapidly evolving global emergency that continues to strain healthcare systems. Emerging research describes a plethora of patient factors-including demographic, clinical, immunologic, hematological, biochemical, and radiographic findings-that may be of utility to clinicians to predict COVID-19 severity and mortality. We present a synthesis of the current literature pertaining to factors predictive of COVID-19 clinical course and outcomes. Findings associated with increased disease severity and/or mortality include age > 55 years, multiple pre-existing comorbidities, hypoxia, specific computed tomography findings indicative of extensive lung involvement, diverse laboratory test abnormalities, and biomarkers of end-organ dysfunction. Hypothesis-driven research is critical to identify the key evidence-based prognostic factors that will inform the design of intervention studies to improve the outcomes of patients with COVID-19 and to appropriately allocate scarce resources.

Keywords: COVID-19; SARS-CoV-2; predictors; severity.

Publication types

  • Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural
  • Review

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Aging
  • Biomarkers
  • COVID-19* / mortality
  • COVID-19* / pathology
  • COVID-19* / transmission
  • Child
  • Comorbidity
  • Humans
  • Hypoxia / pathology
  • Prognosis
  • SARS-CoV-2 / pathogenicity
  • Severity of Illness Index*

Substances

  • Biomarkers